High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect
High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect (with Emi Nakamura)
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 133(3), 1283-1330, August 2018.
Appendix -- Slides -- Replication Files -- Policy News Shocks (original sample period)
Policy News Shocks constructed by Acosta and Saia for an updated sample period may be found here.
Nominal and real rates respond one-for-one to FOMC announcements, while expected inflation responds very little. Expectations of growth rise after surprise monetary tightenings suggesting information effects are important.