The Slope of the Phillips Curve: Evidence from U.S. States

The Slope of the Phillips Curve: Evidence from U.S. States Jonathon Hazell, Juan Herreno, Emi Nakamura, and Jon Steinsson

Evidence from new state-level CPI data suggests the slope of the Phillips curve is small and was small during the 1980s. Volcker disinflation was mostly due to rapid downward shift in inflationary expectations. 

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Learning about the Long Run

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When Did Growth Begin? New Estimates of Productivity Growth in England from 1250 to 1870